{"id":962,"date":"2019-01-09T21:45:28","date_gmt":"2019-01-10T02:45:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/?page_id=962"},"modified":"2022-08-04T21:31:27","modified_gmt":"2022-08-05T01:31:27","slug":"math4600","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/courses\/math4600\/","title":{"rendered":"MATH 4600\/6600: Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Welcome to the homepage for Probability (Math 4600\/6600)! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Probability is a deep and fascinating mathematical subject, with its own theory as well as connections to analysis, geometry, and combinatorics. In addition, it&#8217;s one of the most useful areas of applied mathematics, as entire careers and disciplines (e.g. actuarial science, quantitative finance, machine learning) rest on a firm understanding of the theory of probability. In addition, there are deep connections between probability and physics, explored mostly in the field of statistical physics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a first course in probability, which will introduce you to the basics of the subject: discrete and continuous distributions, conditional probability and Bayes&#8217; theorem, distribution functions and probability density functions, expectation and variance, sums of random variables, laws of large numbers and the central limit theorem, generating functions, Markov chains, and random walks.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our text for the course is a <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/prob.pdf\">lightly customized version of Grinstead and Snell, <em>Introduction to Probability<\/em><\/a>.&nbsp;This is an open-source book which you should download from the link above. During Fall 2021, the class meets twice a week at 2:20pm-3:35pm TR in Boyd 303. Office hours are virtual and scheduled via this page. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Homework, quizzes, and in-class projects will be assigned and collected via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gradescope.com\">Gradescope<\/a>. You can sign up for a Gradescope account for free and enroll in the course with course entry code <strong>WY44YE<\/strong>. We won&#8217;t use eLC at all for this course, since Gradescope and this webpage will give us everything we need. Tests will be taken in class, scanned, graded, and returned via Gradescope. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Mathematica<\/em>&nbsp;will be an integral part of the course. UGA has a site license for <em>Mathematica<\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/eits.uga.edu\/hardware_and_software\/software\/mathematica\/\">you can get a copy for your laptop or home computer free of charge<\/a>. I encourage you to work through some <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/mathematica_programming_slideshow.nb\">introductory material on <em>Mathematica<\/em><\/a>. Some of the homework assignments and projects will require you to write <em>Mathematica<\/em> programs, and it&#8217;s really helpful to be able to use a computer to check your work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Syllabus and Policies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 1.6em;\">Please examine the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/4600syllabus.pdf\">course syllabus<\/a>.&nbsp;If you think you can get by with this copy, save a tree! Don&#8217;t print it out.&nbsp;The course syllabus lists the various policies for the course (don&#8217;t miss the attendance policy). The course is organized by day, with the updated plan for the course always visible on our <a href=\"https:\/\/calendar.google.com\/calendar?cid=cWE3NjN1dDdiazQwZWpsMnFqN2M1djJwbzBAZ3JvdXAuY2FsZW5kYXIuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbQ\">shared Google Calendar<\/a>. Every day, we&#8217;ll have a reading assignment before class. We&#8217;ll open class with a short quiz on the reading. Then we&#8217;ll have a discussion of the material in the book, followed by some in-class work that&#8217;s usually done in small groups. <\/span>Office hours are online and scheduled <a href=\"https:\/\/outlook.office365.com\/owa\/calendar\/ProfJasonCantarella@groups.uga.edu\/bookings\/s\/HTJQOsbMuUeBKDk15TiojA2\">through this link<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lecture Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 1.6em;\">Here are links to class notes and in-class problems. Classes with computer demonstrations have Mathematica notebooks posted here<\/span>. Homework assignments which require Mathematica notebooks or data can also be found here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/2021-lecture-1-4600-definitions.pdf\">Lecture 1. Sample spaces, outcomes, and events. Basic properties. Tree diagrams and odds ratio.<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/math4600-notes-continuous-probability-distributions.pdf\">Lecture 2. Continuous probability distributions. Probability distribution function. Cumulative distribution function.<\/a><ul><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/three-interesting-problems.nb\">Three Interesting Problems, Part 1.<\/a><\/li><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/three-interesting-problems-2.nb\">Three Interesting Problems, Part 2.<\/a><\/li><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/three-interesting-problems-3.nb\">Three Interesting Problems, Part 3<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/math4600-notes-combinatorics.pdf\">Lecture 3. Combinatorics.<\/a><ul><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/birthday-problem.nb\">The Birthday Problem and Pochhammer Symbols<\/a><\/li><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/stirling.nb\">Stirling&#8217;s Approximation<\/a><\/li><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/derangements.nb\">Derangements<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/math4600-notes-combinations.pdf\">Lecture 4. Combinations<\/a>.<ul><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/binomial-distribution.nb\">Binomial Distributions, Model Fitting, and Posterior Distributions.<\/a><\/li><li>Mathematica Notebook: <a href=\"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/downloads\/poker.nb\">Applied Probability in Poker. <\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Material on this page is a work-for-hire produced for the University of Georgia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to the homepage for Probability (Math 4600\/6600)! Probability is a deep and fascinating mathematical subject, with its own theory as well as connections to analysis, geometry, and combinatorics. In addition, it&#8217;s one of the most useful areas of applied mathematics, as entire careers and disciplines (e.g. actuarial science, quantitative finance, machine learning) rest on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":78,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-962","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=962"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/962\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1768,"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/962\/revisions\/1768"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/78"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasoncantarella.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}